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Agora Group report for 1Q 2010
13-05-2010
Press release

PLN milion1Q 20101Q 2009yoy % change
Revenue248.1274.4(9.6%)
Cost(231.4)(268.7)(13.9%)
Net profit21.81.02080%
EBIT16.75.7193%
EBIT margin6.7%2.1%4.6pp
EBITDA36.425.741.6%
Operating EBITDA (1)39.529.334.8%
Operating EBITDA margin (1)15.9%10.7%5.2pp


Figures for 1q 2010 (yoy comparison):

•  According to Agora's estimates, advertising spending for all media amounted to PLN 1.6 billion (down 1.5%).

•  Agora Group significantly increased its net profit to PLN 21.8 million (up 2080%) and improved profitability, increasing operating EBITDA margin1 to 15.9% (up 5.2pp).

•  Revenues of the Group amounted to PLN 248.1 million (down 9.6%). Advertising sales reached PLN 159.3 million (down 11.2%), revenues from copy sales PLN 53.3 million (down 19.2%) and other sales brought PLN 35.5 million (up 22.4%).

•  Total net operating cost of the Group reached PLN 231.4 million and decreased by 13.9% yoy. The decrease in operating cost results, inter alia, from the implementation of the operating efficiency improvement plan within the Group since December 2008, entailing further reductions in marketing expense (down by 32.2% yoy) and staff cost (excluding non-cash expense relating to share-based payments) down by 4.9% yoy. Moreover, lower cost of raw materials, energy and consumables (by 18.4%) resulting from lower cost of paper consumption and launching less expensive book collections within Special Projects, contributed to the decrease in total net operating cost.

•  The Group's headcount, at the end of March 2010, was 3,120 employees and decreased by 385 FTEs versus the end of March 2009. It was possible due to execution of one of the components of the operating efficiency improvement plan, which entailed delivering 393 dismissal notices to employees till the end of October 2009.

•  Operating EBITDA margin (1,2) of the Newspapers segment (including Gazeta Wyborcza , Metro , Special Projects, Agora's Printing Department and Agora Poligrafia Sp. z o.o.) grew to the level of 30.2%. Gazeta's advertising sales reached PLN 73.2 million (down 15%) and its copy sales generated PLN 37.3 million (down 2.6%). Gazeta sold 340 thou. copies on average and maintained its share in the display advertising in dailies at the same level as in 1q09.

•  Metro maintained its share in advertising expenditure in dailies at the level of ca. 4%. Ad revenues of Metro amounted to PLN 7.3 million and declined by 13.1%, while total ad spend in dailies dropped by 16%.

•  Revenues of Agora Internet segment (3) grew to PLN 21.2 million (up 8.7%), including revenues from the display ad sales (4), which grew by 27.9%, while total ad spend in display ads and e-mail marketing grew by almost 13%. In February 2010, total reach of online services from Gazeta.pl Group reached 64.4% (5) and positioned Gazeta.pl Group as the second player among Internet portals, after Onet.pl Group and before Wirtualna Polska Group.

•  AMS Group (6) maintained its share in outdoor advertising expenditure at the level of 27.8%. Ad revenues of AMS Group amounted to PLN 34.5 million and dropped by 8.7%, while the advertising expenditure in outdoor dropped by over 11%.

•  Magazines improved its operating EBITDA margin (1,2) to the level of 18.5% (up 5.3pp). Revenues of Magazines reached PLN 20.5 million and decreased by 12.4%.

•  Radio operations of Agora improved its operating EBITDA margin (1) to the level of 11.9% (up 3.3pp). Ad revenues of Agora's radio stations amounted to PLN 15.8 million (down 12.7%).

•  On 30 March, 2010 Agora Group signed a preliminary agreement to purchase 84% of shares of Centrum Filmowe Helios S.A. as an execution of the objective to enrich the Group's portfolio of assets.

1q2010 market performance and financial results of Agora's major lines of business (yoy comparison):

NEWSPAPER MARKET / GAZETA WYBORCZA

Operating EBITDA margin (1, 2) of the Newspapers segment (including Gazeta Wyborcza, Metro, Special Projects, Agora's Printing Department and Agora Poligrafia Sp. z o.o.) grew by 7.2pp and reached 30.2%. Gazeta Wyborcza maintained its leadership position among quality newspapers. It sold 340 thou. copies on average (down 14.2%). Paid circulation of Rzeczpospolita reached 143 thou. copies (down 4.2%), Fakt sold 422 thou. copies (down 9.3%) and Super Express decreased paid circulation by 12.1% to 181 thou. copies. Dziennik Gazeta Prawna sold 107 thou. copies on average. Gazeta Wyborcza was the most read quality daily and reached 4.5 million readers (14.9% reach, CCS - weekly readership index). Gazeta's advertising revenues (7) amounted to PLN 73.2 million (down 15%). The title's share in dailies display ad expenditure maintained its level from 1q09, while the title's share in ad expenditure in national dailies increased by almost 1.5pp yoy.

INTERNET (3)

Operating EBITDA margin (1,2) of Agora's Internet segment grew by 11.6pp to the level of 8.5%. Revenues from Agora's Internet segment grew by 8.7% to PLN 21.2 million, including increase of the revenues from display ad sales (4) by 27.9% to PLN 13.3 million, while total ad spend in display ads and e-mail marketing grew by almost 13%. The decrease of Agora's Internet segment operating cost to PLN 21.3 million stems from the reduction of staff cost by 3.6% (excluding non-cash cost of share-based payments) and drop in marketing spending (down by 18.6%). In February 2010 total reach of online services from Gazeta.pl Group reached 64.4% and the number of its users reached 11.2 million (up 47.4%) (5). In 1q10 Agora launched two new online services which take advantage of the synergy between different media of Agora Group - Tokfm.pl (in cooperation with the radio station TOK FM) and Avanti24.pl - a new website of Agora's monthly Avanti .

METRO

Metro increased its operating EBITDA (1,2) by PLN 1 million to the level of PLN 0.7 million yoy. Total ad revenues of Metro amounted to PLN 7.3 million and decreased by 13.1%, while total ad spend in dailies dropped by 16%. The title maintained its share in total display ad spend on dailies at the level of ca. 4%, while its share in display ads in dailies in Warsaw grew by 2pp. In 1q10 Metro posted good readership results and reached 1.9 million readers (6.2% reach, CCS index - weekly readership). As a result, Metro had 0.6 million readers more than Rzeczpospolita and almost 0.9 million readers more than Dziennik Gazeta Prawna.

SPECIAL PROJECTS

Operating EBIT (2) of Special Projects amounted to PLN 1.9 million and total revenues reached PLN 14.1 million (down 38.4%). Agora ran 6 collections and 9 one-off projects and sold ca 0.7 million books and books with DVDs and CDs, inter alia, from the movie series Woody Allen and Lektury szkolne (School Readings), from music series Wielcy kompozytorzy filmowi (Great Movie Composers), Fryderyk Chopin and Giganci Jazzu (Jazz Giants) and from book collection Wielcy Filozofowie (Great Philosophers).

OUTDOOR

An estimated share of AMS Group in spending on outdoor advertising remained flat yoy and reached 27.8%. Ad revenues (8) of AMS Group amounted to PLN 34.5 million and decreased by 8.7%, while total outdoor advertising market declined by over 11%. AMS Group decreased its operating cost to PLN 40 million (down 3.8%); the largest decline was noted in campaign execution cost (down 18.9%). Thanks to its optimization measures, AMS Group managed also to reduce its maintenance cost by 5.6%.

MAGAZINES (9)

Magazines reported increase of the operating EBITDA margin (1,2) by 5.3pp to 18.5%. Revenues of Magazines amounted to PLN 20.5 million (down 12.4%), including ad revenues (10) of PLN 10.6 million and copy sales revenues of PLN 9.8 million. The operating cost of the segment was reduced to PLN 16.9 million (down 18%). Paid circulation of Agora's monthlies declined by 9.6%. Agora's magazines share in national magazine ad spend was at the similar level as in 1q09.

RADIO (11)

Operating EBITDA margin (1) of Radio segment grew to 11.9% (up 3.3pp). Ad revenues of radio stations (12) of Agora amounted to PLN 15.8 million (down 12.7%). The drop in operating cost of the segment (down 16.2% to PLN 15 million) stems from, inter alia, the reduction of the staff costs (down 7.5%, excluding non-cash expense relating to share-based payments) and decline in marketing expenditure (down 30.8%).

Prospects

ADVERTISING MARKET IN 2010

Ad market performance in the consecutive quarters of 2010 depends, by and large, on the condition of the Polish economy, especially on the level of investment, the inflow scale of funds from European Union and the level of individual consumption.

Additionally, the condition of advertising market in Poland in the second quarter of 2010 may be influenced by the television pricing policy.

The size of the advertising market can also be influenced by the reductions in advertising expenditure during the mourning period after the presidential plane crash near Smolensk.

COST IN 2010

The operating efficiency improvement plan and cost control (including new FTEs) is continued in the Group to adjust it to the advertising market conditions.

The level of staff cost depends, inter alia, on the variable element of the staff remuneration which is strictly related to achievement of sales budgets for a given year. Additionally, the Group executes development projects, including those building competencies in electronic media.

The Group intends to continue its cost control policy in relation to marketing and promotion expenditure. However, it should be remembered that the level of marketing and promotion expense depends on the dynamics of particular media development and the number of collections launched within Special Projects as well as the market activities and projects of the Group's competitors.

The level of cost of raw materials and energy in 1q10 was mainly influenced by the unit cost (including cost of paper purchase), the EUR/PLN exchange rate and the production volume. In 1q10 the cost of paper purchase in the European market was lower that the year before. Additionally, the strengthening PLN versus EUR had a positive effect on newsprint cost. The cost of materials and energy will be dependent in the coming quarters on the volume of production and EUR/PLN exchange rate.

MAIN OBJECTIVES IN 2010

•  cost control enabling adjustment of the Group's operations to volatile market conditions;

•  development of existing businesses and strengthening the effect of internal synergies to take advantage of Group's multimedia resources and competencies;

•  development and creation of new multimedia competence centers within the Group;

•  ensuring wide distribution and monetization of content created within the Group;

•  taking advantage of the media market context to enrich the Group's portfolio of assets.

NOTICE: The above financial data comes from Management Discussion and Analysis of the Group's results for 1q 2010. All data presented herein represent the period of January-March 2010, while comparisons refer to the same period of 2009.

Notes:

(1) excluding non-cash cost of share-based payment.

(2) EBIT, EBITDA, operating EBITDA of Newspapers, Internet and Magazines are calculated on the basis of cost directly attributable to the appropriate operating segment of the Agora Group and excludes allocations of all Company's overheads (such as: cost of Agora's Management Board and a majority of cost of the supporting divisions), which are included in matching positions.

(3) the Internet segment includes the pro-forma consolidated financials of Agora's Internet Department, LLC Agora Ukraine, Trader.com (Polska) Sp. z o.o. and AdTaily Sp. z o.o. Incorporation of AdTaily Sp. z o.o. is reflected in financial performance of the Internet segment from 3q09.

(4) the data do not include total revenues from cross-promotion of Agora's different media (only direct variable cost of campaigns carried out on advertising panels) if such promotion is executed without prior reservation, as well as inter-company sales between Agora's Internet Department, LLC Agora Ukraine, Trader.com (Polska) Sp. z o.o. and AdTaily Sp. z o.o.

(5) the Gazeta.pl Group include online services (including partnership services), which domains are subscribed by Agora. Data regarding real users is based on Megapanel PBI/Gemius, which covers Internet users age 7 years and above, connecting to Internet from the territory of Poland and include only Internet domains registered on Agora SA. Real users data of Gazeta.pl Group services are audited by Gemius SA. The research methodology of Megapanel PBI/Gemius has changed from May 2009, which has caused an increase by several percentage points as for range and number of users of online services and websites in the Polish Internet.

(6) the Outdoor segment consists of the pro-forma consolidated data of companies constituting the AMS Group (AMS SA, Adpol Sp. z o.o.).

(7) the data refers to only a portion of total revenues from the dual media offers (published both in Gazeta Wyborcza, as well as on GazetaPraca.pl, GazetaDom.pl, Domiporta.pl, Komunikaty.pl and Nekrologi.Wyborcza.pl verticals), which are allocated to print edition of Gazeta.

(8) the data do not include revenues from cross-promotion of Agora's other media on AMS panels if such promotion was executed without prior reservation.

9 the Magazines segment presents the pro-forma consolidated financials of Agora's Magazines and Agora Press Ltd. (Ukraine).

(10) the data do not include revenues from cross-promotion of Agora Group's different media (only direct variable cost of campaigns carried out on advertising panels) if such promotion is executed without prior reservation.

(11) the Radio segment includes the pro-forma consolidated financials of Agora's Radio Department, all local radio stations and a superregional radio TOK FM, being parts of the Agora Group. This includes: 18 Golden Oldies (Zlote Przeboje) radio stations, 7 local radio stations (Roxy FM), one AC format (Adult Contemporary) local station and a superregional news radio TOK FM broadcasting in 9 cities.

(12) advertising revenues include revenues from brokerage services of the proprietary and the third-party air time. The data do not include revenues from cross-promotion of Agora's different media (only direct variable cost of campaigns carried out on advertising panels) if such a promotion was executed without prior reservation.

Sources:

Advertising market: the data refer to advertising expenditures in five media (print, radio, TV, outdoor, Internet). In this press release Agora has corrected the advertising figures for the first quarter of 2009. Unless explicitly stated otherwise, print and radio advertising market data referred to herein are based on Agora's estimates adjusted for average discount rate and are stated in current prices. Given the discount pressure and advertising time and space sell-offs, these figures may not be fully reliable and will be adjusted in the consecutive reporting periods. In case of print, the data do not include classifieds, inserts and obituaries. The estimates are based on rate card data obtained from the following sources: Expert Monitor monitoring, Agora SA monitoring. TV and Internet figures for 2010 and the previous periods are based on Starlink media house. Internet ad spend estimates include display, search engines (Search Engine Marketing), e-mail marketing and affiliated marketing. Outdoor advertising figures are based on Izba Gospodarcza Reklamy Zewnetrznej estimates.

Copy sales of dailies: the data on the number of copies sold of daily newspapers are derived from the National Circulation Audit Office (ZKDP). The term "copy sales" used in this press release is consistent with the sales declarations of publishers to the National Circulation Audit Office.

Readership of dailies: the data on dailies readership based on PBC General, research carried out by MillwardBrown SMG/KRC on a random, nationwide sample of Poles over 15 years of age. The CCS index (weekly readership index) was used, which indicates percentage of respondents reading at least one edition of the title within 7 days of the week. Size of the sample: nationwide PBC General for 1q 2010: n=12 142.

Internet offer reach: data on real users based on Megapanel PBI/Gemius, which covers Internet users age 7 years and above, connecting to Internet from the territory of Poland and include only Internet domains registered on Agora SA. Real users data of Gazeta.pl Group services are audited by Gemius SA. The research methodology of Megapanel PBI/Gemius has changed from May 2009, which has caused an increase by several percentage points as for range and number of users of online services and websites in the Polish Internet.

Outdoor: the data based on the report on sales of outdoor companies prepared by Izba Gospodarcza Reklamy Zewnetrznej (IGRZ) which include: AMS SA, Cityboard Media, Clear Channel Poland, Stroeer Out of Home Media, News Outdoor Poland, Gigaboard Polska, Mini Media/Publiprox, Business Consulting, CAM Media, Defi Poland, BP Media, Warexpo, Żak and Heardz. The report is prepared on the basis of the financials provided by member companies of IGRZ. The report for the outdoor market (defined by IGRZ as 'the out-of-home market'), include immovable (traditional), mobile and digital outdoor advertising.

Copy sales of magazines: average paid circulation of monthlies is based on the Agora's own data. Rate card data on magazines obtained from Expert Monitor monitoring; commercial brand advertising, excluding specialized monthlies; accounted for 125 titles in 1Q09 and 124 titles in 1Q10.


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